Sunday, January 11, 2009

Golden Globes Predictions

Best Picture (Drama)
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (Because the Globes and the Oscars have never agreed on Best Picture since LOTR; I'm assuming Button goes the Atonement route...)
Possibly: Slumdog Millionaire
My Preference: The Reader

Best Picture (Musical/Comedy)
Will Win: Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Possibly: Happy-Go-Lucky
My Preference: Happy-Go-Lucky

Best Director
Will Win: Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
Possibly: David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
My Preference: Stephen Daldry - The Reader

Best Screenplay
Will Win: Simon Beaufoy - Slumdog Millionaire
Possibly: Eric Roth - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
My Preference: 

Best Actor (Drama)
Will Win: Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler (I'm guessing that the momentum shifts here)
Possibly: Sean Penn - Milk (Would be a home-run, but he's too critical of the 
Globes, and won recently)
My Preference: Sean Penn - Milk

Best Actor (Musical/Comedy)
Will Win: Dustin Hoffman - Last Chance Harvey
Possibly: Colin Farrell - In Bruges
My Preference: James Franco - Pineapple Express

Best Actress (Drama)
Will Win: Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Possibly: Meryl Streep - Doubt
My Preference: Kristin Scott Thomas - Il y a longtemps que je t'aime / Meryl Streep - Doubt (sentiment!)

Best Actress (Musical/Comedy)
Will Win: Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky
Possibly: Meryl Streep - Mamma Mia!
My Preference: Sally Hawkins - Happy-Go-Lucky

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Possibly: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
My Preference: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Penélope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Possibly: Kate Winslet - The Reader
My Preference: I really love them all except for Amy Adams.  Kate Winslet is the best, but it's category fraud.  I guess... Viola Davis - Doubt

Best Original Score
Will Win: Alexandre Desplat - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Possibly: A. R. Rahman - Slumdog Millionaire
My Preference: Clint Eastwood - Changeling (The only thing that I LOVED about the movie)

Best Original Song
Will Win: Bruce Springsteen - "The Wrester" from The Wrestler
Possibly: Clint Eastwood - "Gran Torino" from Gran Torino
My Preference: Bruce Springsteen - "The Wrester" from The Wrestler

Best Foreign Language Film
Will Win: Waltz with Bashir
Possibly: Gomorrah
My Preference: Waltz with Bashir

Best Animated Film

Will Win: WALL-E
Possibly: WALL-E
My Preference: WALL-E

Thursday, January 8, 2009

BFCA Predictions

Best Picture: Slumdog Millionaire
Best Director: Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight
Best Actor: Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
Best Actress: Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Best Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger - The Dark Knight
Best Supporting Actress: Penélope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Best Screenplay: Simon Beaufoy - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Animated Film: WALL-E
Best Documentary Feature: Man on Wire
Best Foreign Language Film: Gomorrah
Best Action Movie: The Dark Knight
Best Comedy Movie: Tropic Thunder
Best Picture Made for Television: John Adams
Best Composer: Alexandre Desplat - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Song: "The Wrestler" by Bruce Springsteen - The Wrestler
Best Acting Ensemble: Milk
Best Young Actor/Actress: Dev Pastel - Slumdog Millionaire

Saturday, December 6, 2008

My favourite NBR citations

It's probably too late to post this, but I'm glad that I was able to think about what I liked about the National Board of Review's awards, in spite of some disappointing picks (*cough* Slumdog Millionaire *cough*).

4) Changeling is mentioned in the Top Ten Films
Maybe it wasn't the masterpiece that Cannes proclaimed it to be, but it also wasn't the piece of shit that the New York press hissed it was. The direction and screenplay was uneven, but it was ultimately a solid film with some dynamic performances and stunning production values.

3)Viola Davis's Breakthrough performance by an Actress win
Okay, I have not yet seen Doubt, so I am not really qualified to comment on the value of this victory, but I wish instead that it had been in the full-fledged Supporting Actress category. She is a fantastic actress; she is my Best Supporting Actress of 2002 for Solaris (and Far from Heaven). But how is this a breakthrough? She's a Tony winner, for crying out loud!

2)WALL-E is mentioned in the Top Ten Films
I hate how deserving animated films are automatically demoted to the animation ghetto, and are seldomly mentioned in the same top ten lists as live action features. It is great that WALL-E is included in this list. This film should be nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars, but of course it won't be.

1)Anne Hathaway's Best Actress win
I am hoping that this win will create traction for the possibility of an Oscar turn for Anne Hathaway. I really, really love Rachel Getting Married, and was unexpectedly blown away by her adroit scenery chewing. Kym is such an unlikeable character, because of her druggie-diva antics and desire to make her personal hell a bigger deal than her sister's Big Day. But Anne, evidently, was able to find enough that she liked in Kym and what makes the people around her love her, and picked out the moments where she could add colour to a potentially one-note performance. I hope that there is enough space in the shortlist for her inclusion; she could benefit more from a nomination than any of the actresses in the unimaginative line-up of the Blanchetts, Streeps, and Winslets.

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Meryl's Globe prospects

At the top of the year, I brazenly forecasted a victory for Meryl Streep at the 66th Golden Globe awards.  The Golden Globe is essentially the Meryl Streep Award; she has won a staggering six times! I reasoned that if she had momentum for and possibility of an awards sweep for her role as Sister Alyosius, that she would win for Doubt.  If Doubt flopped, then it seemed obvious that she would cement her status as the actress with the most Globe wins even further by winning trophy number seven for Mamma Mia!, effectively breaking her tie with Jack Nicholson as the thespian with the most citations.
As more competitors have emerged in the Best Actress categories, I have become doubtful that Meryl Streep will win her seventh Globe this year. But like everyone else with even the most rudimentary sense of this year's competition, I am predicting that barring a huge upset, Meryl Streep will be cited in another two shortlists at the Golden Globes for Doubt and Mamma Mia!  When this happens, she will eclipse Jack Lemmon's record for the most Globe nominations.  So I'm excited!
Right now, I am predicting that Kate Winslet will win her first Globe for Revolutionary Road in the Drama race, and that Sally Hawkins will snag the award in the Musical/Comedy arena for Happy-Go-Lucky.  Now that Anne Hathaway has received placement in the Drama category for Rachel Getting Married, the field in the Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy category is even less competitive and I get this nagging feeling that Meryl could upset Sally Hawkins for the win.